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9/28/2017

E-Vehicles

Alpha_scripts:
We all know that the world will be running on Electric Vehicles by 2030.

Being in the stock market, we can all sense that electric vehicle car part makers will benefit heavily and considering that India’s first vehicles will roll out by 2020, it makes infinite sense to spot multibaggers in this space.

Typically, the following parts make up an electric vehicle:

Body Battery, Regenerative Braking, Drive System Microcontroller, Of course, tyres and other routine auto parts too.

We’ll do the batteries in this first installment.

About Electric Vehicle Batteries

If electric vehicles are to succeed, the batteries should help the car run longer miles long and be cost-effective.

Such batteries must power the car for a reasonable number of miles. There is already talk about developing Aluminum air batteries that will last 1,000 miles and cost the consumer about INR 3 per mile.

As technology advances, these costs will come down.

But before we experience Aluminum air batteries, we have to work with Lithium Ion batteries.

Lithium ion batteries, the first to get off the block, contain liquids, and this makes make them heavy. Sooner or later these will have to be replaced but we have to make do with them in the present.

On a side note, IBM is working on Lithium Air and other research labs are working on Aluminum air batteries that will use their respective metals as fuel. After a certain number of miles (One Aluminum Air battery lasts 1,000 miles), the batteries will have to be replaced.

So, while picking stocks, let’s focus on 2 prominent materials that will be used to manufacture EV batteries — Lithium (for the immediate future) and Aluminum (for the distant future).

Know that lithium and graphite (for the anodes) are used in Lithium Ion batteries.

Electric Vehicle Battery Stocks that can become Multibaggers

*MOIL* — supplies manganese which is used to make aluminum, steel and also will be a key ingredient in EV batteries.

*HBL Power Systems* — makes batteries for the defence and industrial sectors. Has presence in USA, Middle East and Europe. Can easily handle lithium batteries and changes in technology. Everything looks cool about it except for the fact that its price is a bloody laggard.

*Hindustan Copper* — mines copper and nickel, which are used in batteries

*Graphite India* — Graphite is used in EV batteries, but this stock has appreciated way too much

*Ashok Leyland* — will make electric buses and batteries in collaboration with SUN Mobility. Maybe it will take over Sun Mobility and start making batteries

Other quality battery makers like *Everready, Amara Raja and Panasonic* too will jump in the fray.

*Eon Electric*, a small company, also makes Lithium Ion batteries along with mobile parts and optic fibre cable stuff. Please study it in depth before  making any decision.

*Hindalco, Vedanta, National Aluminum* stocks have massive potential going forward irrespective of the fact whether Aluminum Batteries are made or not because aluminum is lightweight and will be used to make the car’s body.

*HEG* should do well too as it is into graphite electrodes (along with power and carbon), but its share price has jumped 3 times in the last 12 months.

*Rain Industries*, mines carbon which is used in making many electrical accessories for EVs.

*Himadri Specialty Chemicals* (suggested by Geordie Job Pottas, an independent equity researcher)

You may want to look at this languishing stock that has the potential to vroooom (but I’m unsure of the management) —  Orient Abrasives, which is into mining metals for creating aluminum and many components for EVs.

Alpha_scripts:
Other significant players:
ABB/ HBL power Systems/ Cummins/ Siemens/ Tata Power (Charging Infrastructure)

TVS/BAJAJ (2 wheelers)

Ashok Leyland/ Goldstone Infratech. (Electric Buses)

M&M/ Tata Motors

Atll auto/ Scooters India (3 wheelers)

Schneider Electric Infrastructure

Gravitas (metal/alloys for batteries)

Minda corp (R&D)

Eveready, Panasonic, Exide, Amara Raja Batteries

JBM auto/ SML Isuzu

JSW energy/ Kirloskar (diversified/ engine)

NTPC, PFC, PGC (finance)

Electrotherm (Yobykes, scooters, buses, motors, components, Rickshaws, R&D)
Since PMS was taking a lot of time and efforts, I decided to start of with a channel on Telegram by the name Alpha_scripts
The link for the same being: t.me/aceinvestorvaibhav
In this way, I will be able to give real time inputs. 


19 comments:

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    Replies
    1. Book partial profit, the market might go bearish for a while

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  2. What is think about SpiceJet @100 and DMART since IPO? should I book profits?

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  5. Hey...Great Research...Can You Put On Some Solar Industry And Research Over It.Renewable Energy And Sun Energy Is The Sector According To Me Which Will Have Great Benefits In The Coming Future And Need Of An Hour.I Am On My Research If You Could Help Me On That It Will Be Great Favor.Thanks Once Again.

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    Replies
    1. With all due respect I don't see exponential growth in this sectors. No matter, however big the tenders are, the OPM is quite thin, competition always on the rise. This industry is purely supported due to subsidiaries and availability of funds by PFC, REC, etc. The depreciation is comparatively less, but that wouldn't suffice.
      You've got to trust me, we've got Solar PVs at our factory and definitely isn't the need of the hour untill some major breakthrough by Tesla or some German firm comes up. Also, Indian firms are NOT heavily vested in Solar R&D, otherwise I would've found that company and Invested.b

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