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4/23/2017

Stocks to watch out for the week commencing on 24th April

1. Prism Cement - Institutional Indulgence & the tabled real estate bill.
2. Heidelberg Cement - Real estate bill plus inventory benefits and upgradation of a plant completed. Strong quarter ahead. Plus undaunted Management.
3. Jk tyres and Apollo: Anti dumping and fundamentally upright.
4. KEI industries: FII buying
5. Info Edge (naukri): Sound Management and intact business module.
6. BEML, Reliance Defence, Ashok Leyland, Mahindra and Mahindra, Tata Motors : 2018 will be the year of defence given the upcoming listing of defence giants including HAL, Bharat Dynamics, Mazgaon docks, etc. The rally should kickoff after the Israel visit of Modi, which mostly will  be followed by induction of Barak 8 missiles by the army. Talks of export are also going on. This should kick of the first rally, if not, the above mentioned listings surely will.
(Long term)
7. Bharat Forge: FII
8. Persistent Systems: Result to be better than expectations (hope so)
9. Allcargo, Gateway Distriparks, ITD cementation, Navkar Corporation, TCI, Mercator, shipping, Great eastern shipping Corporation, Dredging corporation of India, Shipping Corporation of India, Siccal logistics:
Many of this already rocked on the announcement of Vijaydurg Port. Several such announcement under sagarmala coming soon.
10. Spice Mobility and Sharp Corp India: Huge orders expected.
11. SpiceJet and Berger: Weak crude, intact management and several news.
12. ALPHAGEO: massive rally.
13. PRESTIGE ESTATE: Best in class not rallied enough.
14. Axis Bank: result better than expected.
Sorry to be brief and not elaborate. Travelling currently and also sorting legal issues. (License and stuff)
Someone reports all of my answers on Quora of Plagiarism and hence I have been banned on Quora. So won't be writing on Quora.

Be vary of geopolitical effects as well as expiry


46 comments:

  1. IF Len Pen wins in the French elections, Europian union may no longer exist. Should we wait till these results, since it will have huge impact on stock market?

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    Replies
    1. Highly unlikely and if hypothetically it happens the movement will be stock specific. Relate it with the effect of brexit. Also, the French have been very very loyal to India lately. Be it India's war against terrorism or modernization of defence. The French have backed up India right from NSG to permanent seat at UNSC. They have alos blessed us with first world def tech that include Scorpene subs and Rafael plane. The sentiment will not change whatever be the result. They might even sign an FTA with India if FREXIT does occur. And Len Pen has diluted his promises and claims lately. It seems that he is going offensive these days.

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  2. Superb analysis, stocks already started it's rally..Keep up the good work.

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  3. Quora Banned ?
    thats bad news man .. any re course ?

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  4. All the stocks purchased on your recommendations (REC, Sterlite Technologies, JK Tyre, Heidelberg Cement) here are rocking. Could not enter many of them because they ran far away by the time I found your blog here. Thanks for the great blog and follow up here. Thanks again.

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    Replies
    1. Thanks for appreciating Sir. Means a lot.

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  5. Sir i have started following you from quora and then i came to your blog, for a beginner like me you are a guru, as you also educate me. Thank you so much for sharing your knowledge.kindly include my number 7860717148.

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  6. Banned in Quora...oh thats not fair..but anyway sir, plz do update here. you are really giving good stock recommendations which will help to small investors. Thanks for all your stock recommendations.

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  7. Kindly give your views on Intense Technologies and Sankhya InfoTech.

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  8. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  9. Greetings
    Could you please tell me whats your opinion on
    sun pharma
    axis bank
    karnataka bank
    karur vysya bank
    Granules india?

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  10. Vaibhav sir,info edge is falling when entire market is rising.any reason for this or jus correction? Plz tell ur view on entering at CMP 812

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  11. Dear sir,
    seeing the above recommendations i am tempted to expand my portfolio. but the issue in the air about the ruffle between north korea and US seems to
    bother from wntering the market for now. What is ur view on the current scenario.

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    Replies
    1. Already replied to one of the comments. Very script specific matter. No doubt the market will correct. But the correction will be range boung and script specific. Also, take note that emerging markets fund of first world nation will kick off their buying season in while (probably may end or June). And this time Indian equity will out weigh the Chinese ones as China is headed towards recession and unstable. The local MFs are not fools to buy at this price, they are supporting the market right now while the FIIs are pulling out. Many of the managers of emerging funds have already started holding meetings with management. To name a few: MSCI, tantallon capital, Artha Capital, Wellington capital, National Rochdale, etc. Their total pool typically ranges from 300 mil. dollars to 1.2 bil dollars. They buy out 2-5 percent of the company resulting in multiple rallies. Just make sure to pick up the right script at the right price. To give you the spoilers, I am consulting one of the emerging funds. And have hold meetings with several local and foreign fund managers. That is the reason I was unable to write from a very long time. Sorry.

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  12. Is it right time to sell sterlite technology??

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    Replies
    1. No. I am very very optimistic about sterlite for super long term. Hope you bought it at the right price and are making profit.

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    2. Yea thanks bought it at right price for a change
      :)

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  13. I am holding shipping corporation of India @ 80. How much more time I have to wait to see the stock rally ?????

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    Replies
    1. 2017-18 Q3 result should do the magic as per my calculations

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  14. whats your view on ugar sugar stock @35?

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  15. what is your opinion for Lycos Internet

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  16. Sir, can you please give your comments on necc and ongc.

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    1. Necc seems to be nice. I have not gone through the fundamentals and financial ratios yet but warehousing is a profitable business and will be benefitted from GST and DMIC highways​ and other schemes. But certainly the output would be seen clearly in long term.
      Ongc fundamentally very intact. I am just unsure about wether to indulge at the current price. If the market corrects, one should undoubtedly indulge in ongc. Take note, I am more optimistic about IOC and Indraprastha Gas than about ONGC Currently.

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  17. Sir, I am holding Gati for a long time, can I expecy the yield in the next 3 months.Also please suggest me on VRL logistics, can I buy it at around 330rs.

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    Replies
    1. Mostly. Sorry for such an inelaborate answe, but I am not tracking either gati or vrl, I will try to gain some info. Sorry for the inconvenience, but the focus in near future will be around multi nodal logistics companies.

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  18. Sir, Plz add me into u vr msg group. My number 9448229232

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  19. Very informative blog.please add my number in the message group 9038778186

    ReplyDelete
  20. Sir, Please add my number 9841724387 in your message group.

    ReplyDelete
  21. Can u plz add my number guru
    - 7207040429

    ReplyDelete
  22. This is a very informative blog.sir, please add my number in the message group 8606036648

    ReplyDelete
  23. Dear sir,
    i have averaged mandhana retail to 218 and i am willing to buy it and average it even now and keep it for long term. but u suggested in one of the comments to book the loss. what shall i do. hold it longer term and buy on dips or book the loss?

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    Replies
    1. If the market corrects it will be a doomsday for Mandhana, buy it right than to average at a much lower. Right now invest in super fundamental and blue chip stocks like M&, L&T, etc.

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    2. Kalpataru Power, Welspun & Lakshmi Vilas also looks great in near term

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  24. Sir, Shall I hold great eastern shipping and alphageo for long term?

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  25. Can you tell me whether its the right time to buy Shreyans Industries? I am already aiming for Shipping Corp and Reliance Defence.

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  26. Sir what are views on pharma sector (Glenmark, aurobindo, Lupin etc). Most of the companies are at their 52 week low. Could we get decent returns over next 1yr. As Indian rupee is appreciating these days that is also a concern for return in future.

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    Replies
    1. Jalaj, from retail point of view, the trends in pharmaceutical sector are quite unpredictable.
      From analysts' POV, this sector is very complex, intricate and I personally lack the knowledge tojudge the business models of pharma companies.
      From traders' POV, very volatile and uncertain sector.
      From Investors' POV, weakening dollar and a probability of a global crisis pose a major threat since most of these pharma companies have large reserves of USD.
      One of my mentor clearly says that 'IT & Pharma' are against his 'usool'
      My view: I have seen wockhardt at a price abov 2000 and today it stands around 650. I hav burnt my hands in a Sun Pharma call. Also, some credible source once told me that Sun Pharma was lobbying with the Republic Party, it donated huge amounts to the party but now it's getting churned between Make in India and Make US Great Again. A positive for either of the side is a big negative for Sun. Such is the state of pharma firms.
      To be very honest, I earn and make money from my clients mainly from Mid and Small cap firms. I study trends, cycles and scrutinize the fundamentals and invest aaccordingly. I am not a licensed stock market advisor nor do I research every company from every firms. I research only scripts I personally invest in.
      So, as far as I know Natco Pharma and Biocon have got some rock solid fundamentals. But I can't suggest wether to buy or not at this price and this time. I did suggest Natco on 4th of april on quora: https://www.quora.com/Why-are-pharmaceutical-stocks-giving-such-high-returns/answer/Vaibhavv-Shah?srid=hgCGe
      But since then it has appreciated from 865 to 920 today and while this rally it scraped 989.

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    2. thanks man, for quite diligent answer.

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  27. Very impressive blog really.please add my number 790425663 in the message box.

    ReplyDelete

  28. Commerce Minister Suresh Prabhu said early data indicate that exports have registered a "good performance" in June despite volatility in global markets

    Capitalstars

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